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Mlb Media is an Investor’s Best Friend
Before jumping too much into the breakdown you are about to receive, the information in this article generally transcends well across all major sporting events. However, being full swing in MLBâ??s season, there is no better time than the present to illustrate a point.
Common amongst experienced investors but often ignored to the novice, is the fact that market influence plays a strong part, if not the strongest part in line creation. In this day and age, the media presence is stronger than ever before. With Glogs, Blogs, streaming commentary and more by the professional newscasters and amateur sportswriters alike, there is a wealth of information at your fingertips.
Though knowledge of the game, insider information and all the latest stats and trends are helpful when handicapping your next sports investment, none hold a candle to understanding the market behind each investment possibility. In fact, if you only have time to delve into one area, are new and donâ??t know where to begin, or have compiled all your data and need a tie-breaker, understanding media markets and the subsequent frenzy they produce is key to profiting off sporting events.
As an example of this, we will take 2 MLB games, both from June 06, 2007. The first is Florida Marlins (+129) @ Atlanta Braves (-139). The second game is Chicago Cubs (+101) @ Milwaukee Brewers (-111). These lines were taken right from Bodog and Sportsbook, 2 of the largest USA serving sportsbooks available online.
Letâ??s start with the first game. The Marlins are considered a smaller revenue team than the Braves, we all know that. In addition, 9/10 average fans will tell you the Braves are perennial favorites on any given night. Often living off the fat of their 90â??s dominance and their continued strong play in this decade. However, in the last 10 years, the Marlins have won 2 world series compared to the Brave 0. But fan base and history aside, letâ??s focus on this year for a moment. At the time of writing, only a 4 game difference separated the 2 teams. However, when looking at the line, the Braves are a clear favorite. Why is that? Is it because Florida has a better road record than Atlantaâ??s home record? Obviously not. Is it because Florida was on a longer winning streak at the time? Obviously not. Is it because Florida had the edge in overall team speed, power and starting pitching? Obviously not.
The Marlins were the underdogs because of the media surrounding both teams. How many powerhouse stories do you read on Sportsline, ESPN or MLB about the Marlins? How many times do you read about the fact that despite the pedigree of the Amazing Braves, the Marlins have not only won 2 more championships in the last 10 years, but even as recent as last year, young team and all, were only 1 game behind the Braves.
This is not a flash in the pan people. The Marlins have consistently outpaced the Braves when and where it matters for 10 years. And from a bettorâ??s perspective, have won more underdog wagers for investors than the Braves by a landslide. Why is that? Is has little to do with talent, streaks, or pride. It has to do with public perception created by the media.
Nearly everyone with a cable or satellite TV can catch the Braves on TV. It has been that way for nearly 20 years. But the Marlins? Outside of a Florida market, they get little play. The media shapes these lines.
Letâ??s go a step further though. Maybe you are thinking, the lines arenâ??t â??thatâ?? different. Well, at some sportsbooks the Braves were favored at a clip of (-145), and the largest underdog line for the Marlins was (+129). That is a huge difference for a team that in addition to all the reasons listed above, also has beat the moneyline at a rate of 12-8 over the Braves. Those 4 games may seem like just a narrow margin, but you are talking underdog lines of +225, +200, +119, +104 and more! Seeing as how 2 of those lines are over 200, the profit generated from those 4 extra wins is huge.
So, if the Marlins have won 2 world series to the Braves 0 in the last 10 years, were only 1 game behind the Braves last year, only 4 games behind this year with a better starting staff, team speed and power, and were 12-8 against the Braves in 2006-2007 combined with nearly every win an underdog win, why the large line? Because no one ever wagers on the Marlins. They are a small market team. They are not on TV almost every day. They are not the sexy team for internet writers to talk about. They donâ??t get a single weekend warrior bet outside of southern Florida. The Braves are a media monster, and as such, that information can make you profit.
Now, arming yourself with the knowledge above is only half of understanding the mediaâ??s influence on wagering markets. Letâ??s take a look at the other game outlined above, the Chicago Cubs versus the Milwaukee Brewers.
This game was not picked by accident. The Cubs have the distinction of being the other media market team also televised on cable nearly every day. Any baseball fan under the age of 35 grew up watching either the Cubs or Braves on TV. However, while the Braves benefit from the positive media image (and as outlined above an overinflated media image), the Cubs receive the opposite effect.
How many of you have heard Cubs referred to as the Loveable Losers? Just about anyone who is even a cursory baseball fan or even knows someone who is such a fan likely raised their hand. We all know itâ??s been forever and a day since the Cubs have won a world series. We all laugh at their ineptitude of injuries, managerial blunders and even recently, the fisticuffs between battery mates. The bottom line is, the Cubs are available to us every day as MLBâ??s version of the Jerry Springer Show. We get to watch them implode day after day, year after year. Or at least, that is what the media shows us.
Fighting goes on in major league clubhouses often, yet it rarely, if ever, hits the media in smaller market teams. Detroit last year had a series of blunders in last yearâ??s World Series, the biggest baseball stage in the world, yet less Tigers jerseys are sold than Cubs jerseys, so the story gets buried beneath the media muck and mire.
In the Cubs versus Brewers game, the best underdog line for the Cubs was (+105), where the lowest favorite line for the Brewers was (-120). Now, that may seem insignificant, but 60% of the bettorâ??s money ended up being placed on the Brewers. Even though the Cubs ranked higher in team starting pitching, hitting, defense and bench prowess. In addition, the Cubs were throwing out their ace, Carlos Zambrano who after the previously mentioned fisticuffs, had a great deal to prove. For those lucky enough to watch Zambrano play over the last 5 years, it is common knowledge he thrives on emotion. Yet, 60% of investors bet against him.
And the Cubs negative media is not the only part to this story. Check through the archives on your favorite sports website this season. Take your pick; it will be the same at all. Compare the last 2 months, and count how many pro-Brewer articles there have been versus anti-Cubs articles. The Brewers are having a fantastic season, and it is a great story. But that is the point of this article. The stories being written are what shape the readerâ??s opinions. And when these opinions hit the sportsbook, the obvious happens, lines shift. Your weekend warrior will bet the Cubs to lose. Your â??informedâ?? investor will bet the Brewers to win. Both opinions formed by the media.
So, how did the games turn out? Florida cashed in their underdog line, winning 7-4 and the Cubs cashed in their underdog line winning 6-2.
So next time you are thinking of placing an investment, take a look at the media markets surrounding your options. Which team is getting the most media play? Which team receives the most exposure? Is that exposure warranted? What is the public perception of that team? If you take the media presence into account, you will improve your accuracy more than 10% overall AND cash in more underdog investments.
Best Online Poker
If you are wanting to play poker online you may not be sure what to look for when trying to find the best online poker. If you start playing in a poker room that is bad you may end up losing money and having a horrible time while playing. It is important that you find the best online poker room so you can enjoy yourself and take advantage of the great pots that are available to win. It is important that you find a poker room that has been established for awhile and you should also choose a place to play based on your personal style of playing and your level of poker skill.
If you want to find the best online poker look for a site that is obviously successful. If there are a variety of happy players at the site, then more than likely this is a great room. Also check out the customer service that is available as well. The best online poker room will provide helpful customer service and will have fees that are reasonable in their amounts.
Personal style is also an important consideration when you are looking for the place to play the best online poker. You should decide whether you enjoy playing a variety of different poker games or if you have one specific game that you enjoy playing the most. If you enjoy various games then find a site that offers a variety of games to choose from. If you just enjoy one style of playing then the best online poker room for you may be a place that specializes in that particular game.
Also take into consideration your poker skill level when you are trying to find the best online poker. If you are a beginner you may want to start out in a free room that will allow you to play without spending any money. As you progress in your skills you may want to go on to play at sites that allow you to play for money.
The Best Gambling Sites on the Internet
Sportsbook. com – One of the top sports betting sites, Sportsbook. com started operations in 1996 when it was launched by Sportingbet PLC. Over the years, it has stood the test of time and has developed into a well-known brand, with its sports betting products having been featured on ESPN, CNN, 60 Minutes, to name a few. Minimum bets on the site are at $1. 00, with maximum wagers as follows: NBA ($2,200), MLB ($3,000), and NFL ($5,500). Players can bet on the following sports – basketball, baseball, football, golf, hockey, soccer, boxing, tennis, motor sports, and horse racing.
Bookmaker. com – A brainchild of betCRIS International, a Costa Rica-based online gambling company famous within the gaming industry. How famous are they? It is a well-known fact that every other sportsbook site delays posting their odds until CRIS has posted theirs. The site offers one of the fastest and easiest sign-ups ever, and uses software made by Digital Gaming Solutions which has proven to be reliable and fast, even during peak betting periods. All the major league sports in the U. S. are available, as well as football, baseball, basketball, and motor sports.
Bodog Poker – Bodog’s poker website offers poker players everything they could possibly ask for or need to play online. The site provides useful information from online poker guides and experts, plus you can make use of the leaderboards, online tournaments, and many more features to make your poker experience an enjoyable one. Join the fastest growing online poker community and be one of the thousands of players to enjoy daily tournaments for Texas Hold’em, Omaha, Omaha Hi/Lo, 7 Card Stud, 7 Card Stud Hi/Lo, and 5 Card Stud poker.
Diamond Sportsbook Poker – This is the place to be if you love playing poker online. They have all the popular games, plus some lesser known variants. How about 3 Card Poker, Let It Ride, Pai Gow, and Stud Poker, for starters? You also get the experience of playing the game with others from all over the world. The site’s excellent graphics and easy-to-navigate menus make life easy, even for the poker newbie. You don’t have to worry about a thing because everything about Diamond Sportsbook is legitimate and legal. All you’d have to do is get into the action and enjoy!
Omni Casino – The growth of online gambling has spawned countless casinos almost overnight, making it hard for the player to pick out the one casino that stands out from the rest of the crowd. Well, the Omni doesn’t just stand out; it‘s in a class all its own. You may see other online casinos claiming that they provide a realistic Las Vegas experience. But the Omni Casino provides a more upscale, classier feel that makes you think you’re playing on the Riviera! The Omni has also enjoyed acclaim from its peers, receiving several awards including “Best Rewards” and “Quickest Payouts” for three years in a row.
Sands of the Caribbean – Any casino that manages to stay in operation for more than 7 years has got to be trustworthy, and this casino deserves it. It started operations in 1997, at a time when you would be hard put to find online casinos. They’ve also received recognition in the form of several awards, including “Best Reputation” for three years in a row. The casino also takes pride in their COMP program, which is undoubtedly the best COMP program you can find online.
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Picking and choosing the best betting blogs
Just because a person puts something on a blog doesn’t mean it is right. If you have followed the internet for a little while, then you will immediately understand that there is some really dumb stuff posted on many of the blogs out there. With that said, there are some people who put good stuff out on their blogs. The challenge for us then becomes finding the best betting blogs so that we can use them when we make our picks. Going about picking and choosing the best betting blogs can be a bigger challenge than you might realize, though. Best betting blogs by the numbers Hey, you can’t argue with production. If you can happen to find a blog that is producing at a big time level, then you owe it to yourself to give it a long, hard look. One of the best ways to find the best betting blogs is to take the time to track their records on the games that they predict. If a guy shows that he can consistently hit his picks, then you should follow him and figure out what it is that he sees about the games that you don’t see. Simply going by the numbers will help you find some of the best betting blogs out there, but it won’t help you find all of them. Best betting blogs by analysis Some of the best betting blogs belong to that distinction because they really come to the forefront with their analysis. These are the blogs that can give you a solid breakdown of the matchup, or maybe they can give you a good run down of why the line looks the way that it does. These are some of the best betting blogs to follow because you can learn something about teams and players from what they have to say. Often times, these blogs are written by people who are close to the team and know more about the games than you might.
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Best Betting Blogs Part-I
The best betting blogs may go as far as to pose the standings of the National League’s Central Division in order to bolster a discussion about how the Houston Astros would be motivated to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals on a particular day of the season. If a sports betting blog was able to do that, it would potentially be the kind of information needed in order for the readers of the sports betting blog to make an accurate prognostication of the game itself. The best betting blogs may even post the winning percentage of a manager like Tony La Russa against the Houston Astros or Larry Dierker’s winning percentage against the St. Louis Cardinals as another point. The best betting blogs may lead you to believe that La Russa has the number of the Houston Astros for example and thus cannot be beaten by them. The best betting blogs may have the information even broken down as far as home and away records. It would be difficult to believe that most wagers are decided with such information, but I’m sure some of the people who write and read the best betting blogs would want that information to be out there, no matter how much value there truly was in it. The best betting blogs would also post information on who actually would be getting suspended for the use of performance enhancing drugs. I’m sure there are plenty of examples that could cited from a decade ago, but one of the people who has admitted to such use would be Glenallen Hill. Hill was role player and a solid pinch hitter during most of his formative years in the big leagues as the best betting blogs will tell you. If you were to pick out a star player from a decade ago who could be pinned with using performance enhancing drugs would be Juan Gonzalez when he was with the Texas Rangers. The best betting blogs would of course wait till all the necessary information about such a suspension was confirmed. Anything less might not make them one of the best betting blogs.
Best sports betting bonuses
So you just won $1000 on your favorite college football team this weekend. How much could you have won if you had bonus money to bet with too? It’s hard to say what the best sports betting bonuses are, since there are now so many sports betting websites that it’s hard to keep track of. For example, though, let’s say you got a 20 percent bonus on your $1000 deposit. 20 percent is one of the best sports betting bonuses available right now, if not the best. Now you could put down $1200 on your favorite choice this week instead of $1000, thus resulting in more winnings and extra money for you. Some of the best sports betting bonuses also apply to re-ups. In other words, if you have to add more money to your account, you can get a percentage added to your re-up giving you more money to bet with, and thus more money to win. The best sports betting bonuses that are available for re-ups are usually around 10 percent. Now when you re-up for $1000, you actually have $1100 to play with. I don’t know about you, but I don’t know too many places giving away free money. When playing in the land of sports betting, it’s always good to have more money than you need. By getting the best sports betting bonuses available you can not only have more in your account to play with, but the more money you bet with, the more money you can win. Don’t lose out on extra money that could help you profit more every time you win a bet. Good bettors take advantage of these offers because they know that by getting the best sports betting bonuses around, they can still win while spending less of their own bankroll. So next time you place a wager, make sure you are getting the bonuses you deserve.
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Adam Scott is Getting Closer and Closer to the Best Players in Golf
Holding a trophy in his hands, this is officially Adam Scott’s best year. This has been his most consisting season and it was only missing a PGA Tour, but not anymore, he closed with a 4-under 66 and that got him his very own Tour Championship. The dark side of things was for the fanatics since Scott turned the season finale into a snoozer, playing flawless golf until it no longer mattered. Hundreds of fans headed for the parking lot when the 26-year-old Australian made the turn with a three-stroke lead, and he never let anyone get any closer.
His goal was to be a bigger and scarier rival, and he accomplished that making it to nine top tens, six of those in the first, second or third the lowest. It was his fourth career PGA Tour victory, and it earned him the last spot at Kapalua for the winners-only Mercedes-Benz Championship that starts the 2007 season in 61 days. Scott finished at 11-under 269 and earned $1. 17 million to finish a career-high third on the PGA.
Scott can now count five trophies on the PGA Tour, even though only four count in the record books since his playoff victory in the Nissan Open last year was unofficial because rain shortened the tournament to 36 holes. Scott got the first-place check and in his own list of achievements, the trophy. The next step for Scott is competing in a major level and for now, he will have to settle for winning two of the PGA Tour’s elite events. The Players Championship two years ago and the Tour Championship.
It was the perfect way to end the PGA Tour season for Scott.

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